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This is going to be the biggest Super Bowl for gambling in recent memory. The American Gaming Association estimates that Americans will bet a total of $23.1 billion on the Big Game this year, compared to $16 billion last year. Which NFL bros will lead the way? Watt or Kelce?
The Super Bowl is one of the most unique betting experiences in all of sports. It’s not just about who wins, who scores, or who does what when. In Vegas, you can bet on almost anything. The color of the Gatorade baths, the odds of a streaker on the field, and the chance of a post-game proposal are just a few of the many, many moments for which Americans can burn their money on Super Bowl Sunday. In honor of the Big Game’s first foray into Sin City, here’s a taste of the wildest and weirdest bets you can place on Super Bowl Sunday.
Sam Darnold wins Super Bowl MVP: +20000 (DraftKings)
Do you buy into the „Brock Purdy is actually not a good quarterback“ narrative? Are you ready to put your money where your mouth is? Then pick 49ers backup Sam Darnold to be the MVP! The chain of events that would need to occur for this to happen is highly unlikely. This is because the MVP race favors Super Bowl MVPs – quarterbacks have won the award in 32 of the 57 Super Bowl matches. It’s still funny that Darnold is rated at the same level or better than legitimate defensive stars like Trent McDuffie from Kansas City and Chavarius Ward from San Francisco, or the big play machine Marquez Valdes-Scantling.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 19.5 receiving yards: -120 (DK)
The Chiefs‘ passing offense practically revolves around two players: Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice. The only exception: Marquez Valdes-Scantling. In the last two games of the 2024 playoff run, Valdes-Scantling had four catches for a total of 100 yards. In a game against Buffalo, he made two catches for over 30 yards each. In his playoff career, Valdes-Scantling averages 18.38 yards per reception. You’re practically betting on MVS making a catch.
Either the kicker hits the goal posts/crossbar on a missed field goal/extra point at +400 (via The Athletic)
Want to burn money for a haha-funny sound effect? Go for it! In this bet, a kicker is not just required to miss their kick; they’re required to produce one of the funniest and weirdly satisfying sounds in sports from the goalposts. This is to be further enhanced by the integration of „Doink“ cameras, highly innovative from FO’s.
Drake wears Kansas City Chiefs merch at -170 (via The Athletic)
The Drake Curse is infamous in all sports. QuotenShark analyzes some of the recent instances where Drake’s choice of team apparel indirectly (or directly) led to the tragic downfall of teams in a championship game. The results are either very credible or somewhat dubious, depending on how you measure them (e.g., the Raptors made Drake their team ambassador in 2013, lost tragically in the playoffs for five seasons in a row before finally winning a championship in 2019), but one thing is undeniable. This one stands out especially because of Drake’s rampant bandwagon fandom. It would just be very funny to see Drake, in a risky version of the Drake Curse, donning the jersey of the most successful and visible team in American pro sports in recent memory. If you really believe in the bad-luck voodoo magic, you can combine the Drake Curse bet with a 49ers Moneyline bet (currently -125) which pays out about +185.
Reba McEntire’s National Anthem length under 90.5 seconds: -128 (FD)
Sports betting operators around the world are expecting Reba to sing the national anthem. Historically, the average Super Bowl national anthem has lasted 103.5 seconds. That has spiked in recent years. Since 2000, this average has increased to up to 115.4 seconds, and six of the last 10 Super Bowls have surpassed the 2-minute mark. McEntire is a more dynamic singer with an average of 127 beats per minute (BPM) from her legendary 1988 album ‚REBA‘. The national anthem is traditionally performed at 92 BPM, but nobody matches that tempo at the Super Bowl. Unless Vegas knows something we don’t (hint: they always do), the under seems like a silly bet.
Props for Usher’s halftime performance (Coveres)
Usher as the halftime show performer has predictably entered the betting conversation. His club hit „Yeah!“ from 2004 is currently listed at -100000 on Betano. Bets on the performances of Ludacris and Lil Jon have been taken off the board by FanDue, and „My Boo“ collaborator Alicia Keys is the favorite among the remaining names. However, the remaining bets on the board seem far-fetched and are worth mentioning. Usher would never let himself be overshadowed by Taylor Swift from Japan at his own headliner event, so we can scratch this +550 option off the table. The remaining names are just one-off song options. Justin Bieber (-215) would be the best name on the board – Usher helped discover Bieber and eventually became his mentor – but Biebs and Usher only team up in the „One Less Lonely Girl“ remix. That’s a Bieber song, so it’s likely he’s out. Will.i.am (+158) and Post Malone (-440) only collaborated late in their careers, so their performance (and their songs) would have little impact on the logistics needed to coordinate their appearance (although Malone has already appeared at the „America the Beautiful“ pregame). But Usher had multiple tracks with Nicki Minaj (+270), seeming there’s beef there? Rounding out Usher’s „DJ’s Got Us Fallin‘ In Love“ collaborator, Mr. 305 himself: Pitbull (-114). Pitbull was previously excluded from the Ciara-J Lo Halftime Show in Miami, where he had more reason to be there, both in terms of discography and geography, which would make it extremely funny to see him for 30 seconds in Las Vegas this year.
Taylor Swift props (DK)
DraftKings has an entire page dedicated to just props and parlays related to Taylor Swift, marked with Swift song titles. Some of the bets match the song title, but they are so ridiculous that they are worth mentioning: Karma: Travis Kelce 0 receptions and SF win at +3000. Travis Kelce has played a total of 180 games in the regular season and postseason. He has been limited to zero receptions only once in his entire career – the second game in Kelce’s rookie career. The Chiefs still won that game. Two’s Better than One: 2 successful 2-point conversions at +1200. Two-point conversions have been on the rise in recent years, but this hasn’t fully translated to the big game yet. There have only been two Super Bowls ever with multiple successful two-point conversions: the historic comeback of the New England Patriots against the Atlanta Falcons in 2017, and the failed comeback of the San Diego Chargers in 1995. This has happened once already in this playoff round, during Dallas’s failed comeback against the Green Bay Packers. However, it is still incredibly rare. Teams have had two successful two-point conversions in the playoffs only five times since 2000. In each case, one team was responsible for the double two-point conversions. Wildest Dreams: Travis Kelce scores the first and last TD at +2500. This one isn’t so strange by itself. It’s just weird when compared to another Swiftie prop on this list. Love Story is a prop bet stating that the Chiefs win and Mahomes and Kelce are responsible for all the Chiefs‘ touchdowns at odds of +2000. Perhaps it’s the uniqueness of „First“ and „Last“, but having a much more unlikely series of events (combining the touchdowns with a win, betting against all touchdowns of another player at the skill position) at more favorable odds doesn’t feel right.